Three recent polls published on Sunday show a close race in Florida between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.
Trump has a 4-point lead over Clinton in Florida according a joint poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College between October 25th and 27th. Asked to choose between four candidates including Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, 46% of poll respondents said they would vote for Trump and 42% said they would vote for Clinton if the election were held on the day of their interview. The party identification of the poll’s respondents showed a Republican advantage of 2 points, with 34% of those polled identifying as Republicans and 32% identifying as Democrats. 31% identified as independents or other. The poll’s gender composition was 54% female and 46% male.
A joint poll of Florida conducted by NBC News, the Wall Street Journal, and Marist between October 25th and 26th shows Clinton with a 1 point lead over Trump with a 2.9% margin of error. Among likely voters, 45% said they would vote for Clinton if the election were held on the day they were polled as opposed to 44% saying the same for Trump. Among registered voters, 44% said they would vote for Clinton if the election were held on the day they were being polled, with 42% saying the same for Trump. The poll did not disclose the sampling breakdown of its respondents along the lines of party affiliation. The poll’s gender breakdown was 54-46 female-male among likely voters and 52-48 female-male among registered voters.
Trump has moved up two points in the same poll over the course of three weeks among likely voters. He has also moved up four points across the same time period among registered voters. Clinton’s level of support has remained the same among likely voters across three weeks, and moved down one point among registered voters.