Middle East a Cauldron of Horror

BATR

As-salamu alaykum (the peace be upon you (plural) and Shalom (peace, harmony, wholeness, completeness, prosperity, welfare and tranquility) may have different nuances but both express a similar intent of goodwill. In reality, not much benevolent friendship exists in the eternal cauldron of Semitic hatred. Genetic and blood feuds have proliferated throughout history, but the foremost difference in this ongoing struggle is that the prospects of initiating a nuclear holocaust are reaching a meltdown radiation level. Human comprehension of the actual devastation from a nuclear strike, much less an all out exchange of warheads cannot be understood by playing a video game or watching a media presentation.  

Up to this point in the age of atom splitting annihilation, the apprehension of obliteration kept sounder minds and self-control from pushing the button. But what restraint exists when Islamic suicide bombers or Zionist zealots who are prepared to use the “Samson Option” are in control of the weapons of mass destruction?

An assessment of NUCLEAR WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST, authored by Nick Turse cites a scholarly study. Cham Dallas who is lead author says that “the projections are the most catastrophic he’s seen in more than 30 years analyzing weapons of mass destruction and their potential effects.”

“This could be Tehran, or what’s left of it, just after an Israeli nuclear strike. Iranian cities – owing to geography, climate, building construction, and population densities  –  are particularly vulnerable to nuclear attack, according to a new study, “Nuclear War Between Israel and Iran: Lethality Beyond the Pale,” published in the journal Conflict and Health by researchers from the University of Georgia and Harvard University. It is the first publicly released scientific assessment of what a nuclear attack in the Middle East might actually mean for people in the region.

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Its scenarios are staggering.  An Israeli attack on the Iranian capital of Tehran using five 500-kiloton weapons would, the study estimates, kill seven million people  –  86% of the population  –  and leave close to 800,000 wounded.  A strike with five 250-kiloton weapons would kill an estimated 5.6 million and injure 1.6 million, according to predictions made using an advanced software package designed to calculate mass casualties from a nuclear detonation.

Estimates of the civilian toll in other Iranian cities are even more horrendous.  A nuclear assault on the city of Arak, the site of a heavy water plant central to Iran’s nuclear program, would potentially kill 93% of its 424,000 residents.  Three 100-kiloton nuclear weapons hitting the Persian Gulf port of Bandar Abbas would slaughter an estimated 94% of its 468,000 citizens, leaving just 1% of the population uninjured.  A multi-weapon strike on Kermanshah, a Kurdish city with a population of 752,000, would result in an almost unfathomable 99.9% casualty rate.”

John Bosma pens this gem in The American Thinker, Thinking About the Unthinkable: An Israel-Iran Nuclear War

“The possibility of a nuclear war coming far sooner than one could have imagined under conventional wisdom worst-case scenarios. Following the US’s betrayal of Israel and its de facto detente with Iran, we cannot expect Israel to copy longstanding US doctrines of no-first-nuclear-use and preferences for conventional-weapons-only war plans. After all, both were premised (especially after the USSR’s 1991 collapse) on decades of US nuclear and conventional supremacy. If there ever were an unassailable case for a small, frighteningly vulnerable nation to pre-emptively use nuclear weapons to shock, economically paralyze, and decapitate an enemy sworn to its destruction, Israel has arrived at that circumstance.”

No wonder my fellow friends and readers that you will not see our essays appear in this pinnacle publication of Israel-First dribble. This DARPA consultant, John Bosma boasts that he draws on a 40-year background in nuclear war-gaming and strategic arms control. He sounds like the real model for the WOPR (War Operation Plan Response). Even the computer nerd Dr Stephen Falken from War Games, playing a modified Stephen Hawking role knows better. Calling his creation Joshua, is most symbolic.

At this point let’s face the substance and prospects of just who will launch a detonation. Israel still refuses to publically acknowledge their substantial cache of nukes. However, Israel Submarine Capabilities have much to thank the German made U-boats designers.

“It seems possible, therefore, that the 650mm tubes might have been designed to accommodate indigenously built, long-range Submarine Launched Cruise Missiles (SLCM). The German government has stated that it does not have information on whether Israel installed different equipment on the submarines after delivery, but former German officials have acknowledged that they assumed that Israel intended to equip the submarines with nuclear weapons.”

The insanity that is Middle East knows no bounds. A recent BATR RealPolitik Newsletter topic: The Sunni – Shia War, has a wealth of information on the insidious arrangement Saudi Arabia has made with Israel. If a nuclear attack mission destroys the region, you should know which direction the bombs will come from.

From a popular military and foreign policy publication, The National Interest, account Iran’s Master Plan to Retaliate If Israel Strikes may surprise you.

“However Iran chooses to respond to an Israeli attack on its nuclear program, Khamenei will instruct the IRGC-QF to do its work as discreetly as possible. Any overt missile attack on an American ally in the Arab world — let alone a conventional missile attack on Israel — would prompt the U.S. armed forces to scramble the fighter jets and deploy the aircraft carriers. This is not something Iran wants and a full U.S. military operation is certainly not something that they can afford to confront.

The name of the game for Iran is to maximize the damage on Israeli and U.S. interests without provoking a conventional military assault from both nations that will degrade its military capability and potentially destroy the regime.”

Ponder the last statement. Do you really believe that Iran wants to risk a nuclear retaliation response from Israel with their vastly superior military machine capacity? As reported, the US to deliver F-35 jets to Israel to maintain military edge, is just another indication that Iran may be able to bluff an Obama administration from patrolling the waters of the Persian Gulf, but can they do the same to the Likudniks? However, even the NYT Iran’s Swift Release of U.S. Sailors Hailed as a Sign of Warmer Relations cannot cover-up the absurdity of U.S. foreign policy.

Central to any analysis of deploying arms and boots into this region must confront exactly what benefit or security interest does America gain from such involvements?

Now that Rand Paul has been ushered to tweeting his presidential debate responses, you won’t be hearing any serious challenge on the uniform genuflection to the Wailing Wall.

The intrepid non-intervention, Michael Scheuer quotes George F. Kennan, the quintessential Mr. X of American foreign policy. “The United States has a fateful tie to the Israelis from which we have, in contradistinction to the Israelis, everything to lose, and nothing to gain.” George F. Kennan, Diaries, 25 April 1978.

Mr. Scheuer goes on to say in Time for America to bid a final farewell to Israel and Palestine.

“The war is occurring in a far away place that is no longer of any strategic interest to the United States because the combination of Washington’s relentless, war-causing and Islamist-motivating interventionism and Obama’s cowardly surrenderism have already given the entire region to the Islamists and ensured — thanks to Jewish-American Neocons — Israel’s ultimate doom. Therefore it matters not a lick to any but disloyal Americans whether the Israelis kill all the Palestinians, the Palestinians kill all the Israelis, or, in the best case scenari0, they mutually destroy each other. At the end of the war they all simply will be dead foreigners of whom we had no need and for whom we need not bid any teary farewells. Peoples who want to fight religious wars deserve whatever they get, and these two peoples are determined to fight their religious war until one side or the other is destroyed. Well, so be it, let us get out of it now.”

This wisdom applies to the Zionist/Sunni relationship and their ill-gotten alliance against the Shia Iranians. Since Arabs and Persians do not mix any better than Jews and Palestine’s, why should the entire globe be drawn into a kosher conflagration?

The United States has become part of a “Reign of Terror” orchestrated by a deceptive and treacherous “so called” ally. There is no need to champion or defend Iran as a Good Samaritan. Radical Islamic Terrorists are just as bad as IDF and Mossad hit squads. The underlying governmental regimes behind these warmonger belligerents have exported their regional hatred to our own shores.

With the prospects of the carnage described by Cham Dallas that could befall Tehran coming to an American city, it is crucial that America pivot away from befriending Israel and adopt a neutral and a non-involvement policy. The inevitability of a real holocaust befalls all parties because of their refusal to give up their quests for dominance. The American empire is over. Wake up to the fifth column hidden in plain sight.