Six weeks ago a poll that suggested Obama may be in trouble in suburban Cook County was widely dismissed as an outlier. Not only does a new poll of Illinois’ 10th Congressional District, which includes parts of northern Cook County, show that Illinois suburbanites are turning against the President, but a news report suggests the […]Continue reading →
According to the New York Times’ Nate Silver, if Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney wants to serve as the next President of the United States (and send Barack Obama back to Chicago) he simply cannot afford to lose Florida in November. And I’m inclined to agree with him. Indeed, earlier this month, Silver conducted a […]Continue reading →
As Americans prepare for the first of three presidential debates this evening in Denver, a nationwide poll of likely voters released last night shows an exact dead heat. Via National Journal: General Election: Romney vs. ObamaNational JournalObama 47, Romney 47Tie President Obama and Mitt Romney are deadlocked among likely voters as they prepare to square […]Continue reading →
When it comes to handling women’s health issues and foreign affairs, Dawn Massop Love sides with President Barack Obama. For closing tax loopholes and boosting small businesses, she trusts Mitt Romney to do the job. “There’s a list of 100 items that need to be fixed in this country, and they’re probably 50-50 on them,” […]Continue reading →
After a few weeks spent tracking down and questioning pollsters and the reporters of polls, I can assure the reader that pollsters are the modern-day alchemists. They promise to turn numbers into predictive gold. We’d all like to believe these magical powers exist, but we shouldn’t. The pollsters of 2012 just don’t know who is […]Continue reading →
This is still America and everyone has the Constitutional right to cast their vote on Election Day but only 20 states will allow you to cast your vote without providing at least minimal identification, and most of them are working toward rectifying that situation even as we speak. Election Day is Tuesday, November 6, 2012, […]Continue reading →
I hate to start something here with a trite phrase. But sometimes you read about things that make you wonder what some people are smoking. In Colorado this year a cabal of known associates is getting together to try to legalize the sale, cultivation and possession of marijuana under what’s known as Amendment 64. Their […]Continue reading →
Jay Cost writing at the Weekly Standard points out some encouraging facts about where President Obama stands historically at this point in the election. First, Obama is weaker than previous incumbents who went on to victory. When we are looking through history, the only poll we can really utilize is Gallup if we want an […]Continue reading →
Just before the Republican National Convention, a mainstream media (MSM) narrative began to take shape. The false meme stated that Obama had the momentum and the necessary support to easily win re-election. Soon another feature was added to the construct — i.e., that Obama’s re-election is inevitable. Too often this narrative was supported by selective […]Continue reading →
An excellent and timely article by Katrina Trinko at NRO yesterday about oversampling of Democrats in opinion polls. The answers coming from pollsters may surprise you: It has become a familiar pattern this election cycle: A poll shows President Obama several points ahead of Mitt Romney, conservatives look at the poll‘s sample and discover that […]Continue reading →
For those of you fretting over the latest “FoxNews/ABC-CBS-NBC/Wall Street Journal/USAToday/Perth Amboy Times/And Whatnot” poll showing Obama 300 points ahead of Romney in the race for the presidency, do yourself a big favor — ignore it, and everything like it. I have for months now, and it’s been great for my blood pressure. When a […]Continue reading →
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The last few weeks have been ugly for Republican presidential contender Mitt Romney. A flat Republican convention, a fumbled response to unrest in the Middle East, reports of discord within his campaign and a secretly taped video of Romney deriding 47 percent of U.S. voters have left his team reeling […]Continue reading →
