Indiana stands alone Tuesday, the only state holding a presidential primary, but the presidential race in both parties could look very different Wednesday morning.
Ted Cruz’s last stand?
Two weeks ago, Cruz told an Indiana crowd, “The state of Indiana is going to play a pivotal role in this election … Indiana’s voice, Indiana’s megaphone to the country, will decide which path this party goes down, which path this country goes down.”
That statement was a few days before Cruz had his clock cleaned in the “
Indiana offers 57 Republican delegates, 30 statewide and three each in nine congressional districts. All of those delegates are distributed on a winner-take-all basis. If Trump wins all or most of them, the requiems for the Cruz campaign will begin to roll in.
Sanders still slugging it out
A Sanders victory in the Hoosier state would be a bit of an embarrassment to Clinton, but it would do nothing to change the fundamental math of the race. Indiana has 83 Democratic delegates at stake Tuesday, but since they are distributed proportionately, Sanders cannot make a significant dent in Clinton’s delegate lead even with a win.
Nevertheless, Sanders said Sunday, “It is virtually impossible for Secretary Clinton to reach the majority of convention delegates … with pledged delegates alone. She will need superdelegates to take her over the top at the convention in Philadelphia.” Sanders says he will continue to campaign through the remaining dozen states, and “We believe that we are in a very strong position to win many of these remaining contests.”
Clinton has led Sanders in all public polls in the state, with a lead ranging from 5 to 13 percentage points, but Indiana is an open primary — independents can vote in the Democratic primary — which has been helpful for Sanders in other states where he has drawn support from new voters and non-Democrats.
One vote, two time zones
Indiana polls close early — 6 p.m. — but 6 p.m comes an hour later in the dozen western counties that are in the central time zone. Nevertheless, it means we should have results before the 11 o’clock news.