For those of you fretting over the latest “FoxNews/ABC-CBS-NBC/Wall Street Journal/USAToday/Perth Amboy Times/And Whatnot” poll showing Obama 300 points ahead of Romney in the race for the presidency, do yourself a big favor — ignore it, and everything like it.
I have for months now, and it’s been great for my blood pressure. When a TV news report on the latest polls comes on television, I instantly change the channel. When I hear the word “poll” on my radio, I quickly switch stations. When I happen upon a newspaper article or column about polls, I promptly flip to the funny pages.
As a former journalist, I’ve learned that most polls commissioned by news outlets are done not to reflect reality, but to distort it. In the same way Hollywood has discovered it can cheaply fill airtime with so-called “reality shows,” news outlets have found they can fill their pages with polls.
Book it: Romney’s going to win this election in a romp come November. I’m certain of this because there is a key factor that’s being overlooked this time around — blacks have lost their passion for Obama.
I see that loss reflected in the faces of my fellow blacks, who at the mention of Obama’s name no longer beam with rapturous joy — something we blacks normally reserve for winning lottery tickets and intimate getaways with persons not our spouses. As the saying went in the ‘hood where I grew up: “If he looks happy, he’s either hit the number or he’s cheating.”
I also hear it in their voices. Back in 2008, when blacks spoke of Obama, it was like they were describing an encounter with the divine. Obama was “The One” and the “savior of the black man,” as my Aunt Gladys shouted over the telephone to me after learning I was backing McCain. Now what I’m hearing are sentiments more in line with “Give the man a chance” and “He needs more time to turn things around.” Blacks are clearly engaged in excuse-making for a failed deity.
But most of all, I see blacks’ loss of passion for Obama in their eyes. Before, when blacks spoke of Obama, they looked you square in the eye with confident, euphoric gazes, much like a cat eying a cornered mouse. But the reality of double-digit unemployment, diminishing household incomes, and soaring gas and grocery bills sank in long ago in the black community. Now when blacks talk about Obama, their eyes are listless and dull, almost despondent.
Oh sure, when it comes to their waning ardor for Obama, blacks put up a good front, especially around whites — i.e., pollsters. But I know my people “like every square inch of my glorious naked body” (a little Rush Limbaugh lingo there). When in the wrong and confronted by whites, blacks will always hide their true thoughts and feelings, much in the same obstinate way as their refusal to admit that O.J. did it. (He did, by the way.)
Blacks have discovered Obama for what they suspected he was to begin with: the newest in a long line of black would-be-messiahs/hucksters who were also at first described as charismatic, inspirational, visionary, and eloquent. Those names include the likes of Marion Barry, Carl Stokes, Coleman Young, Richard Hatcher, Kenneth Gibson, and Lionel J. Wilson. Each failed miserably, and though black people are loath to acknowledge that fact out loud, deep down, they know it. Black politicians — especially of the liberal Democrat bent — are all doomed to failure because each one believes he’s the second coming of Dr. Martin Luther King. Their shtick is all the same: lofty rhetoric, pretensions of divinity, charm that inspires unquestioning, religious-like devotion (sound familiar?). Those are great qualities for a civil rights leader but poor preparation for one with aspirations of being the most powerful man in the world. Let’s face it: for all his greatness, Dr. King would have made a lousy president.
I know what I’m saying can be dismissed as anecdotal, but there really is something refreshingly conservative in the air again in the black community. Black “pastors say their congregants are asking how a true Christian could back same-sex marriage as President Barack Obama” does. If the story can be believed, some black pastors are encouraging their congregations not to vote on Election Day, given the choice between the Rock Star in Chief and a Mormon.
Which brings me back to polls, and why Romney will be our next president. Polls are largely not picking up on blacks’ massive loss of passion for Obama. All of their turnout models assume that in November, blacks will vote for Obama in the same numbers as they did in 2008 — 13 percent of the national vote versus 11 percent in 2004, which is more traditional. No longer motivated by passion, you can expect 2 million fewer blacks to pull the lever for Obama this time around, spelling doom for his re-election prospects.
So romp on, Romney! Romp on!